One Afternoon at Mezzegra : The Story of Mussolini's Death

Whittle, Peter

PRENTICE/HALL

Probability (Library of university mathematics)

Science & Math

Mathematics

Penguin

Probability Via Expectation (springer Texts In Statistics)

This book is a complete revision of the earlier work Probability which ap peared in 1970. While revised so radically and incorporating so much new material as to amount to a new text, it preserves both the aim and the approach of the original. That aim was stated as the provision of a 'first text in probability, de manding a reasonable but not extensive knowledge of mathematics, and taking the reader to what one might describe as a good intermediate level'. In doing so it attempted to break away from stereotyped applications, and consider applications of a more novel and significant character. The particular novelty of the approach was that expectation was taken as the prime concept, and the concept of expectation axiomatized rather than that of a probability measure. In the preface to the original text of 1970 (reproduced below, together with that to the Russian edition of 1982) I listed what I saw as the advantages of the approach in as unlaboured a fashion as I could. I also took the view that the text rather than the author should persuade, and left the text to speak for itself. It has, indeed, stimulated a steady interest, to the point that Springer-Verlag has now commissioned this complete reworking.

Probability via Expectation (Springer Texts in Statistics)

Springer

This book has exerted a continuing appeal since its original publication in 1970. It develops the theory of probability from axioms on the expectation functional rather than on probability measure, demonstrates that the standard theory unrolls more naturally and economically this way, and that applications of real interest can be addressed almost immediately. A secondary aim of the original text was to introduce fresh examples and convincing applications, and that aim is continued in this edition, a general revision plus the addition of chapters giving an economical introduction to dynamic programming, that is then applied to the allocation problems represented by portfolio selection and the multi-armed bandit. The investment theme is continued with a critical investigation of the concept of risk-free'trading and the associated Black-Sholes formula, while another new chapter develops the basic ideas of large deviations. The book may be seen as an introduction to probability for students with a basic mathematical facility, covering the standard material, but different in that it is unified by its theme and covers an unusual range of modern applications.

Probability

John Wiley&Sons

Optimization Over Time, Dynamic Programming and Stochastic Control (Wiley Series in Probability and Statistics - Applied Probability and Statistics Section) (Volume 1)

wiley

Optimization Over Time, Dynamic Programming and Stochastic Control (Wiley Series in Probability and Statistics - Applied Probability and Statistics Section) (Volume 2)

Systems in Stochastic Equilibrium presents a study of Statistical Equilibrium in systems of interacting components. The central theory of the work is the interaction known as weak coupling, which can be applied to models in both scientific and socio-economic fields. The author has included much new material on subjects such as weak coupling, partial balance and insensitivity, polymerisation, ecological competition and role- adaption in interaction models. Other topics covered include the relation of spatial processes to equilibrium concepts, reversibility and its variants, and the use of convex analysis to clarify the extremal criteria which characterise statistical equilibria.

Systems in Stochastic Equilibrium (Wiley Series in Probability & Mathematical Statistics)

Focusing on two major themes--risk-sensitive control and path-integral or Hamiltonian formulation--it features in-depth treatment of the risk-sensitive certainty-equivalence principle, the extension of the conventional LQG (linear/quadratic/Gaussian) treatment and the path-integral formulation. Looks at the exploitation of the equivalence between policy improvement and the Newton-Raphson method to yield fast guaranteed iterative methods of canonical factorization. Covers the deduction of the natural relationship between Riccati recursions and canonical factorization, the deduction of the form of the canonical factors and the integration of LEQG theory with several methods.

Risk-Sensitive Optimal Control (Wiley Interscience Series in Systems and Optimization)

The concept of a system as an entity in its own right has emergedwith increasing force in the past few decades in, for example, theareas of electrical and control engineering, economics, ecology,urban structures, automaton theory, operational research andindustry. The more definite concept of a large-scale system isimplicit in these applications, but is particularly evident infields such as the study of communication networks, computernetworks and neural networks. The Wiley-Interscience Series inSystems and Optimization has been established to serve the needs ofresearchers in these rapidly developing fields. It is intended forworks concerned with developments in quantitative systems theory,applications of such theory in areas of interest, or associatedmethodology. This is the first book-length treatment of risk-sensitive control,with many new results. The quadratic cost function of the standardLQG (linear/quadratic/Gaussian) treatment is replaced by theexponential of a quadratic, giving the so-called LEQG formulationallowing for a degree of optimism or pessimism on the part of theoptimiser. The author is the first to achieve formulation and proofof risk-sensitive versions of the certainty-equivalence andseparation principles. Further analysis allows one to formulate theoptimization as the extremization of a path integral and tocharacterize the solution in terms of canonical factorization. Itis thus possible to achieve the long-sought goal of an operationalstochastic maximum principle, valid for a higher-order model, andin fact only evident when the models are extended to therisk-sensitive class. Additional results include deduction ofcompact relations between value functions and canonical factors,the exploitation of the equivalence between policy improvement andNewton Raphson methods and the direct relation of LEQG methods tothe H??? and minimum-entropy methods. This book will proveessential reading for all graduate students, researchers andpractitioners who have an interest in control theory includingmathematicians, engineers, economists, physicists andpsychologists. 1990 Stochastic Programming Peter Kall, Universityof Zurich, Switzerland and Stein W. Wallace, University ofTrondheim, Norway Stochastic Programming is the first textbook toprovide a thorough and self-contained introduction to the subject.Carefully written to cover all necessary background material fromboth linear and non-linear programming, as well as probabilitytheory, the book draws together the methods and techniquespreviously described in disparate sources. After introducing theterms and modelling issues when randomness is introduced in adeterministic mathematical programming model, the authors coverdecision trees and dynamic programming, recourse problems,probabilistic constraints, preprocessing and network problems.Exercises are provided at the end of each chapter. Throughout, theemphasis is on the appropriate use of the techniques, rather thanon the underlying mathematical proofs and theories, making the bookideal for researchers and students in mathematical programming andoperations research who wish to develop their skills in stochasticprogramming. 1994

Optimal Control: Basics and Beyond

Computers & Technology

Computer Science

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