AAN was designed to link Force XXI to a long-term vision of the Army and to ensure that this vision informs Army research and development efforts.

Issues From the 1997 Army After Next Winter Wargame: MR-988-A

History

Perry, Walter L.

Military

Rand Publishing

Soon after Operation IRAQI FREEDOM began in March 2003, RAND Arroyo Center began a project, completed in January 2006, to produce an authoritative account of the planning and execution of combat and stability operations in Iraq and to recommend changes to Army plans, operational concepts, doctrine, and Title 10 functions. This report presents a broad overview of the study findings based on unclassified source material.

Operation IRAQI FREEDOM: Decisive War, Elusive Peace

Sollinger, Jerry M.

Darilek, Richard E.

Rohn, Laurinda L.

Middle East

RAND Corporation

In studying the withdrawal from Iraq, RAND assessed logistical constraints, trends in insurgent activity, the readiness of Iraqi security forces, and implications for the size of the residual U.S. force and for security in Iraq and the region. This report presents alternative schedules: one consistent with the Obama administration1s intentions, one somewhat slower, and another faster. It also identifies steps to alleviate constraints and risks.

Withdrawing from Iraq: Alternative Schedules, Associated Risks, and Mitigating Strategies

Gordon, John

Crane, Keith

Gompert, David C.

Johnson, Stuart E.

The U.S. Army's Future Combat Systems program aimed to field an ambitious system of systems, with novel technologies integrated via an advanced wireless network. The largest and most ambitious planned acquisition program in the Army's history, it was cancelled in 2009, and some of its efforts transitioned to follow-on programs. This report documents the program's complex history and draws lessons from its experiences.

Lessons from the Army's Future Combat Systems Program

Wilson, Peter A.

Pernin, Christopher G.

Drezner, Jeffrey A.

McMahon, K. Scott

Gordon IV, John

Axelband, Elliot

Dille, Brian B.

Held, Bruce J.

Rizzi, Christopher

Shah, Akhil R.

As part of an exploration of ways to predict what determines the targets of suicide attacks, RAND conducted a proof-of-principle analysis of whether adding sociocultural, political, economic, and demographic factors would enhance the predictive ability of a methodology that focused on geospatial features. This test case focused on terrorist bombing incidents in Israel, but the findings indicate that the methodology merits further exploration.

Predicting Suicide Attacks: Integrating Spatial, Temporal, and Social Features of Terrorist Attack Targets

Self-Help

Berrebi, Claude

Brown, Ryan Andrew

Hollywood, John

Jaycocks, Amber

Roshan, Parisa

Sullivan, Thomas

Miyashiro, Lisa

Death & Grief

Predictive policing is the use of analytical techniques to help prevent crime, solve past crimes, or identify potential offenders and victims. This guide provides assessments of some of the most promising technical tools and tactical approaches.

Predictive Policing: The Role of Crime Forecasting in Law Enforcement Operations

Politics & Social Sciences

Hollywood, John S.

Smith, Susan C.

McInnis, Brian

Price, Carter C.

Social Sciences

RAND conducted an examination of operations analysis, modeling, and simulation support to decisionmaking in Operation Enduring Freedom and Operation Iraqi Freedom to illustrate how these tools can support decisionmaking in irregular warfare.

Modeling, Simulation, and Operations Analysis in Afghanistan and Iraq: Operational Vignettes, Lessons Learned, and a Survey of Selected Efforts

Computers & Technology

Connable, Ben

Lander, Natasha

Doll, Abby

Madden, Dan

Computer Science

This report presents an analysis of a range of defense institution building (DIB) programs and activities, recommends a set of goals and objectives for achieving them, identifies partner nation and DIB activity selection criteria, develops a strategy for coordinating DIB activities, and recommends procedures for achieving accountability and assessment.

Defense Institution Building: An Assessment

Pezard, Stephanie

Stebbins, David

Oak, Gillian S.

Feng, Chaoling

This report presents research on various methods for heterogeneous information fusion—combining data that are qualitative, subjective, fuzzy, ambiguous, contradictory, and even deceptive, in order to form a realistic uncertainty-sensitive assessment of threat. The context is counterterrorism, for both military and civilian applications, but the ideas are more generally applicable in intelligence and law enforcement.

Uncertainty-Sensitive Heterogeneous Information Fusion: Assessing Threat with Soft, Uncertain, and Conflicting Evidence

Davis, Paul K.

Manheim, David

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Books by Perry, Walter L.