Through analysis of alternative courses of action and their effects on probability distributions estimated for performance, schedule, and cost, acquisition decisionmakers can understand the implications of certain risk-mitigating actions. They can examine technology, schedule, and cost trades between or within individual systems.

Developing a Methodology for Risk-Informed Trade-Space Analysis in Acquisition

Business & Money

Sánchez, Ricardo

Kallimani, James G.

Bond, Craig A.

Mayer, Lauren A.

McMahon, Michael E.

Economics

RAND Corporation

This report documents the structured process that was developed to help project teams identify acquisition framing assumptions (FAs), which are useful in defining and tracking key program assumptions throughout the life of an acquisition program. The process describes a structured deliberation workshop (in the form of a briefing) with the aim of identifying candidate FAs.

Identifying Acquisition Framing Assumptions Through Structured Deliberation

History

Arena, Mark V.

Military

This document explains how to apply standard Office of Management and Budget and Department of Defense (DoD) guidance on project evaluation to product support business case analyses (BCAs) in a way that allows senior DoD decisionmakers to use net present value as the dominant figure of merit for comparing courses of action. Findings are stated in BCA dollar value terms, which are figures of merit that decisionmakers understand intuitively.

A New Methodology for Conducting Product Support Business Case Analysis (BCA): With Illustrations from the F-22 Product Support BCA

Matsumura, John

Camm, Frank

Siler-Evans, Kyle

This report presents a framework for the development of metrics--and a method for scoring them--that indicates how well a U.S. Air Force mission or system is expected to perform in a cyber-contested environment. There are two types of cyber metrics: working-level metrics to counter an adversary's cyber operations and institutional-level metrics to capture any cyber-related organizational deficiencies.

Measuring Cybersecurity and Cyber Resiliency

Computers & Technology

Fox, Bernard

Snyder, Don

Weichenberg, Guy

Hura, Myron

Genc, Suzanne

Tarraf, Danielle C.

Welburn, Jonathan William

Networking & Cloud Computing

Managing for Mission Assurance in the Face of Advanced Cyber Threats

O'Connor, Kathryn

Werber, Laura

Steiner, Colby Peyton

Gierlack, Keith

Dreyer, Paul

Policymakers have increased emphasis on national security risks deriving from globalization of weapon system supply chains. This report addresses the challenges the U.S. Air Force faces in mitigating the effects of these risks and suggests ways to improve how it addresses such risks in source selection and other decisions.

Managing Risk in Globalized Supply Chains

Carter, Phillip

Shokh, Yuliya

Greenfield, Victoria A.

Eden, Rick

O'Connell, Caolionn

Hastings Roer, Elizabeth

Pfeifer, Spencer

McKeon, Jake

Mondschein, Jared

Ashby, Mark

Management & Leadership

What do experts envision as the largest technology-based challenges the U.S. Joint Force could confront by 2040? The authors develop and implement a three-stage approach to elicit and evaluate ideas from experts on technology challenges that are ?radically altering.? Twenty challenges were identified and evaluated by experts. These evaluations allowed the authors to classify those challenges into three clusters to help inform how the U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) could prioritize science and technology (S&T) investments.

A Structured Elicitation Approach to Identify Technology-Based Challenges: With Application to Inform Force Planning for Technological Surprise

Schmid, Jon

Blumenthal, Marjory S.

Litterer, Sydney Jean

Computer Science

Systems and operations have become more dependent on interconnected electronics and data. As that dependence grows, so does the need for mission assurance in the face of adversarial cyber operations. The authors offer ways to help wings assure their missions despite cyber attacks, focusing on how wings can maintain situational awareness, defend their systems, and respond to and recover from attacks to survive and operate when under cyber attack.

Wing-Level Mission Assurance for a Cyber-Contested Environment (Research Report)

Hamilton, Thomas

Hodgson, Quentin E.

Bodine-Baron, Elizabeth

Fujiwara, Jonathan

Brosmer, Jonathan Lee

Reference

Improving the Technical Requirements Development Process for Weapon Systems: A Systems-Based Approach for Managers

Shelton, William

Johnson, Christian

Khan, Raza

Adducchio, Daniel

The U.S. government has developed hundreds of approaches to promote and protect critical technologies and their associated industrial base, and the sheer number and diversity of these programs, policies, and initiatives present a logistical challenge for the U.S. Department of Defense (DoD). The authors of this report describe a tool designed to help DoD decisionmakers-upon discovering a risk or vulnerability to a critical technology-quickly and effectively determine relevant approaches to mitigate the problem.

The Technology Promotion and Protection Decision Tool: Introduction and User Manual

LAWRENCE, ANTHONY

Weinbaum, Cortney

Foran, Christy

Scholl, Keller

Silberglitt, Richard

Mignano, Jim

Manuel, Shane

Whitehead, N. Peter

International

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