Combining statistical analysis with well-written narrative history, this re-evaluation of the 1928 presidential election gives a vivid portrait of the candidates and the campaign. Lichtman has based his study primarily on a statistical analysis of data from that election and the presidential elections from 1916 to 1940 for all the 2,058 counties outside the former Confederate South. Not relying exclusively on the results of his quantitative analysis, however, Lichtman has also made an exhaustive survey of previous scholarship and contemporary accounts of the 1928 election. He discusses and challenges previous interpretations, especially the ethnocultural and pluralist interpretations and the application of critical election theory to the election. In disputing this theory, which claims that 1928 was a realigning election in which the coalitions were formed that dominated future elections, Lichtman determines that 1928 was an aberration with little impact on later political patterns.

Prejudice and the Old Politics: The Presidential Election of 1928

Business & Money

Lichtman, Allan

Economics

Lexington Books

Prominent political analyst and historian Lichtman presents thirteen historical factors, or 'keys' that have successfully predicted the outcome of presidential elections from 1860 to 2004. Read this book not only for a surprising look at the electoral process, but also for tips on calling the election in 2008.

The Keys to the White House: A Surefire Guide to Predicting the Next President

With The Keys to the White House: A Surefire Guide to Predicting the Next President, average citizens are giving the pollsters and pundits a run for their money. In this book, prominent political analyst and historian Allan J. Lichtman presents thirteen historical factors, or "keys" (four political, seven performance, and two personality), that determine the outcome of presidential elections. In the chronological, successful application of these keys to every election since 1860―including the 2000 election where Al Gore was predicted to and did indeed win the popular vote, and the 2004 contest for Bush's reelection―Lichtman dispels much of the mystery behind electoral politics and challenges many traditional assumptions. Scholars of the electoral process, their students, and general readers who want to get a head-start on calling Decision 2008 should not miss this book.

Politics & Social Sciences

Politics & Government

Rowman & Littlefield Publishers

The revolutionary system that reveals how presidential elections really work from the civil war to the 21st century. As controversial as it is compelling this book fundamentally alters our understanding of presidential politics.

Thirteen Keys to the Presidency

Madison Books

This book seeks to stimulate interest in the discipline of history by establishing its relevance to modern life, and to teach the skills requisite for thinking about historical events and communicating ideas effectively.

Historians and the Living Past

History

French, Valerie

Americas

Wiley/Blackwell

In Predicting the Next President political analyst and historian Allan J. Lichtman presents thirteen historical factors, or “keys” (four political, seven performance, and two personality), that determine the outcome of presidential elections.

Predicting the Next President

Rowman & Littlefield Publishing Group

In the days after Donald Trump's unexpected victory on election night 2016, The New York Times, CNN, and other leading media outlets reached out to one of the few pundits who had correctly predicted the outcome, Allan J. Lichtman. While many election forecasters base their findings exclusively on public opinion polls, Lichtman looks at the underlying fundamentals that have driven every presidential election since 1860. His 13 keys Using his 13 historical factors or "keys" (four political, seven performance, and two personality), that determine the outcome of presidential elections, Lichtman had been predicting Trump's win since September 2016. In the updated 2020 edition of this classic text, Lichtman applies the keys to every presidential election since 1860 and shows readers the current state of the 2020 race. In doing so, he dispels much of the mystery behind electoral politics and challenges many traditional assumptions. An indispensable resource for political junkies!

Predicting the Next President: The Keys to the White House

See the best price to sell, buy, or rent books by Lichtman, Allan. BookScouter helps to compare book prices from 25+ online bookstores and 30+ buyback vendors with a single search.

Books by Lichtman, Allan

See the best price to sell, buy, or rent books by Lichtman, Allan. BookScouter helps to compare book prices from 25+ online bookstores and 30+ buyback vendors with a single search.

Prejudice and the Old Politics: The Presidential Election of 1928

The Keys to the White House: A Surefire Guide to Predicting the Next President

The Keys to the White House: A Surefire Guide to Predicting the Next President

Thirteen Keys to the Presidency

Historians and the Living Past

Predicting the Next President

Predicting the Next President: The Keys to the White House