Gain the knowledge and skills that can help you exploitinstability. Forecasting Financial and Economic Cycles No book canhelp you construct foolproof forecasting systems that will ensureyou'll accurately predict economic turning points every time. Butwith Niemira and Klein's Forecasting Financial and Economic Cycleson hand, you'll be able to significantly strengthen your ability tomeasure, monitor, and forecast important fluctuations. Parthistory, it provides you with essential background material on thecharacteristics and causes of economic volatility. It offersaccessible coverage of the classical business cycle, the five basictypes of economic cycles as determined by leading economists, andevolving ideas on the forces driving instability--ranging fromsimple unicausal theories, more complex Keynesian theory, to newclassical macroeconomics. In addition, its concise review ofAmerica's economic past highlights the lessons that can be learnedfrom the various cycles experienced since shortly before World WarII. Part handbook, Forecasting Financial and Economic Cyclespresents the full spectrum of statistical techniques used tomeasure cycles, trends, seasonal patterns, and other vital changes,offering you step-by-step guidance on applying a specific methodand detailing its uses and limitations. It goes on to show how youcan adapt particular techniques to assess, track, andpredict: * Industry cycles--including an objective, tailor-made forecastingtool * Regional business cycles--including a survey of regionalindicators * International business cycles--with an international businesscycle chronology * Inflation cycles--plus "12 little-known facts" about this complexcycle * Financial cycles--covering credit, monetary, and interest ratecycles * Stock market cycles--with advice on achieving more disciplinedtrading Based on outstanding scholarship and years of practical experience,Forecasting Financial and Economic Cycles will serve as aninvaluable tool for practitioners like you whosedecision-making--and profit margin--depend on accurately assessingtoday's often uncertain economic climate. "Forecasting Financialand Economic Cycles provides a lively survey of the many ways thatcyclical economic activity has been dissected and analyzed. Withthis book, an astute reader may even be able to anticipate the nextcyclical turn." --Samuel D. Kahan Chief Economist Fuji Securities,Inc. "The definitive book on the most important and enduringfeature of an often mist-bound economic landscape: the businesscycle." --Alfred L. Malabre, Jr. Economics Editor The Wall StreetJournal "Niemira and Klein cover both the theory of economic cyclesand methods for forecasting them. They provide one of the mostcomprehensive and current reviews of academic studies of economiccycles to be found anywhere." --Anthony F. Herbst Professor ofFinance The University of Texas at El Paso "This book succeeds as acomprehensive, balanced, and accessible treatment of fluctuationsin economic and financial activity. It should prove useful to allthose in industry and finance who wish to understand and analyzethe trends and changes in the modern dynamic economy." --VictorZarnowitz Professor Emeritus of Economics and Finance University ofChicago

Forecasting Financial and Economic Cycles

Business & Money

Niemira, Michael P.

Klein, Philip A.

Economics

wiley

This "Festschrift" honours Geoffrey H. Moore's life-long contribution to the study of business cycles. After some analysts had concluded that business cycles were dead, renewed economic turbulence in the 1970s and 1980s brought new life to the subject. The study of business cycles now encompasses the global economic system, and this work aims to push back the frontiers of knowledge.

Analysing Modern Business Cycles (Suny Series in Anthropology and Judaic)

Literature & Fiction

Routledge

Monitoring Growth Cycles in Market-Oriented Countries: Developing and Using International Economic Indicators (Studies in business cycles)

Monitoring Growth Cycles in Market-Oriented Countries: Developing and Using International Economic Indicators

Moore, Geoffrey H.

Ballinger Pub. Co.

Nonprofit Community Resource Directory for Washington State

Reference

Catalogs & Directories

Nonprofit Community Network

‘Phil Klein, in a low key but deeply reasoned text, critiques economic theory for its misrepresentations of the economy and other shortcomings. In particular, Klein provides a critique of how mainstream economists – creating a corpus of doctrines that seem "quantitative, precise, logical, elegant, rigorous, and beautiful" – have made more of Adam Smith’s "invisible hand" than did Smith himself. Some will agree and others will disagree with various of Klein’s arguments. But all economists, and the discipline itself, will be better off if individual economists will diagnose WHY they agree and disagree, and both the bases and the implications thereof.’ – Warren Samuels, Michigan State University, US 
‘I believe it to be a most significant contribution to a continuing assessment of the heartland of orthodox economic theory and its policy applications. I consider this volume to be the most pertinent and significant contribution of the last decade for the necessary and continuing critique of the relevance and applicability of mainstream neoclassical economic analysis. Professor Klein considers at length the substantive character and relevance of neoclassical orthodoxy as continuing futile efforts are made to salvage its contents and preserve its dominion as the encompassing discipline. He explores its trivialization; he examines its distorted views of the public sector; he laments its overly extensive deference to mathematical expression; he disputes its claim to dominion and exclusive relevance as an inquiry approach for the study of the economic process. In the concluding chapter he presents his persuasive alternative view of what a non-ideological, non-mathematical, but pertinent mode of economic inquiry would encompass.’ – Marc R. Tool, California State University, Sacramento, US 
‘Whatever others’ criticism of the modern discipline of economics, no one has ever charged that it did not deal with a critically important area of human life. I shall try to deal critically with the way in which we teach economics to graduate students, the basic theory which [underpins] that teaching, and the relationship of that theory to economic policy. The charges I shall make are not made lightly and are major. The challenge will be to substantiate them, for in an unsubstantiated form they would be gravely irresponsible.’ – From the introduction by the author 
Economics Confronts the Economy is a challenging and unorthodox look at contemporary economic analysis. Philip Klein presents a highly reasoned and yet personal view of the state of economics today. While his views may be contentious to some, it is an accessible book that will provoke discussion and debate to a wide readership. 
Professor Klein begins with the assumption that the basic function of economic theory is to provide a sound guide for public policy in assisting society in defining what it means by ‘economic progress’. In the words of Thorstein Veblen it involves economic activity as explicit steps to be taken at any given time to enable the economy to play its most effective role in ‘enhancing human life’. The book argues that modern mainstream economics is failing in this task in terms of what it teaches young economists, what it contributes to public policy debates and what it has done to the field of economics. 
This book will have a wide audience throughout the many and varied fields of economics including heterodox economics, micro- and macroeconomics, history of economic thought and economic policy.

Economics Confronts the Economy

Edward Elgar Publishing

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Books by Klein, Philip A.