This report describes an evaluation of the utility of different wargaming tools as the U.S. Marine Corps invests in its wargaming capability and in building its next-generation wargaming concept. The authors have collected information on wargaming processes, facilities, and skill sets through research and interviews at various wargaming centers. They make recommendations for low-, medium-, and high-resourced courses of action.

Next-Generation Wargaming for the U.S. Marine Corps: Recommended Courses of Action

History

Smith, Benjamin

Joon Bae, Sebastian

Bartels, Elizabeth M.

Wong, Yuna Huh

Military

RAND Corporation

What happens to deterrence and escalation when decisions can be made at machine speeds and when states can put fewer human lives at risk? What are potential areas for miscalculation and unintended consequences, and unwanted escalation in particular? This exploratory report provides an initial examination of how artificial intelligence and autonomous systems could affect deterrence and escalation in conventional crises and conflicts.

Deterrence in the Age of Thinking Machines

Computers & Technology

Laird, Burgess

Frank, Aaron

Steeb, Randall

Osoba, Osonde A.

Button, Robert W.

Yurchak, John M.

Harris, Benjamin N.

Computer Science

As the United States creates the Space Force as a service within the Department of the Air Force, RAND assessed which units to bring into the Space Force, analyzed career field sustainability, and drew lessons from other defense organizations. The report focuses on implications for effectiveness, efficiency, independence, and sense of identity for the new service.

Separate Space: Creating a Military Service for Space

Morgan, Forrest E.

Ross, Shirley M.

Crown, John S.

Camm, Frank

Knopman, Debra

Kim, Yool

Spirtas, Michael

Bond, M. Scott

Simmons, Elaine

Formal requirements for naval surface fire support (NSFS)--a way for the U.S. Navy to provide the equivalent of artillery support for forces operating ashore--are sometimes vague. For that reason, RAND researchers conducted an assessment of these requirements and programs and developed recommendations for changes to these requirements. Researchers also examined possible technological investments and solutions that could be considered by the Navy.

Naval Surface Fire Support: An Assessment of Requirements

Welch, Jonathan

Martin, Bradley

Clayton, Brittany

Kim, Yerin

Khan, Inez

Edenfield, Nathaniel

The authors identified disputes among roles, missions, and functions (RMF) that have endured as problems for the U.S. Air Force, factors associated with major RMF changes, and reasons why reform efforts failed. In crafting a framework for analyzing the RMF implications of strategic-level guidance and emerging operational concepts, the authors considered how future leadership choices will influence relative attractiveness of RMF courses of action.

Aligning Roles and Missions for Future Multidomain Warfare

Harting, Sarah

Brackup, Julia

Zeigler, Sean M.

Vick, Alan J.

This report provides a narrative account of four battles within Operation Inherent Resolve (OIR) and a review of U.S. ground force contributions to those battles. It is intended to serve as an operational history and review of warfighting functions as applied to OIR. Although OIR was both a Coalition fight and joint one, the focus on U.S. ground forces is meant to address gaps both in analysis and in the common understanding of OIR.

Operation Inherent Resolve: U.S. Ground Force Contributions

Martini, Jeffrey

Gentile, Gian

Grisé, Michelle

Evans, Alexandra T.

Hvizda, Mark

Middle East

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Books by Joon Bae, Sebastian