Discusses the world economy, looks at stocks, bonds, gold, real estate, options, and futures, and suggests investment strategies

Investment Markets: Gaining the Performance Advantage

Business & Money

Ibbotson, Roger G.

Brinson, Gary P.

Economics

McGraw=Hill

What is the return to investing in the stock market? Can we predict future stock market returns? How have equities performed over the last two centuries? The authors in this volume are among the leading researchers in the study of these questions. This book draws upon their research on the stock market over the past two dozen years. It contains their major research articles on the equity risk premium and new contributions on measuring, forecasting, and timing stock market returns, together with new interpretive essays that explore critical issues and new research on the topic of stock market investing. This book is aimed at all readers interested in understanding the empirical basis for the equity risk premium. Through the analysis and interpretation of two scholars whose research contributions have been key factors in the modern debate over stock market perfomance, this volume engages the reader in many of the key issues of importance to investors. How large is the premium? Is history a reliable guide to predict future equity returns? Does the equity and cash flows of the market? Are global equity markets different from those in the United States? Do emerging markets offer higher or lower equity risk premia? The authors use the historical performance of the world's stock markets to address these issues.

The Equity Risk Premium: Essays and Explorations

Goetzmann, William N.

Oxford University Press

In determining asset allocation, individuals must consider more than the risk-return trade-off of financial assets. They must take into account human capital and mortality risk in the earlier life-cycle stages and longevity risk in the later life-cycle stages. The authors show how to integrate these factors into individual investors' asset allocations through a systematic joint analysis of the life insurance a family needs to protect human capital and how to allocate the family's financial capital. The proposed life-cycle model then addresses the transition from the accumulation to the saving phases-in particular, the role (if any) of immediate payout annuities.

Lifetime Financial Advice: Human Capital, Asset Allocation, and Insurance

Finance

Research Foundation of CFA Institute

Book by Ibbotson, Roger G., Sinquefield, Rex A.

Stocks, Bonds, Bills and Inflation: Historical Returns

Sinquefield, Rex

Richard D.Irwin

Classical and behavioral finance are often seen as being at odds, but the idea of “popularity” has been introduced as a way of reconciling the two approaches. Investors like or dislike various characteristics of securities for rational reasons (as in classical finance) or irrational reasons (as in behavioral finance), which makes the assets popular or unpopular. In the capital markets, popular (unpopular) securities trade at prices that are higher (lower) than they would be otherwise; hence, the shares may provide lower (higher) expected returns.This book builds on this idea and expands it in two major ways. First, it introduces a rigorous asset pricing model, the popularity asset pricing model (PAPM), which adds investor preferences for security characteristics other than the risk and expected return that are part of the capital asset pricing model. A major conclusion of the PAPM is that the expected return of any security is a linear function of not only its systematic risk (beta) but also of all security characteristics that investors care about. The other major contribution of the book is new empirical work that, while confirming the well-known premiums (such as size, value, and liquidity) in a popularity context, supports the popularity hypothesis on the basis of portfolios of stocks based on such characteristics as brand value, sustainable competitive advantage, and reputation. Popularity unifies the factors that affect price in classical finance with those that drive price in behavioral finance, thus creating a unifying theory or bridge between classical and behavioral finance.

Popularity: A Bridge between Classical and Behavioral Finance

Idzorek, Thomas M.

Kaplan, Paul D.

Xiong, James X.

CFA Institute Research Foundation

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Books by Ibbotson, Roger G.