Since 2008 Russia’s military forces have improved, enabling Russian military operations in Crimea, eastern Ukraine, and Syria. Researchers analyze the societal, political, economic, and demographic factors that undergird Russian military power. Based on these factors, they analyze how Russian ground combat capabilities will evolve. The challenge for the U.S. military will be to compete in different regions without provoking escalation.

The Future of the Russian Military: Russia’s Ground Combat Capabilities and Implications for U.S.-Russia Competition

History

Charap, Samuel

Massicot, Dara

Reach, Clint

Han, Eugeniu

Davis, Lynn E.

Radin, Andrew

Migacheva, Katya

Long, Austin

Geist, Edward

MacKenzie, William

Povlock, Matthew

Boston, Scott

Johnston, Trevor

Europe

RAND Corporation

Who will the United States fight against and who will fight with it? Where will these future conflicts be fought? What will future conflicts look like? How will they be fought? And why will the United States go to war? This report is the overview in a series that seeks to answer these questions about the future of warfare in 2030.

The Future of Warfare in 2030: Project Overview and Conclusions

Morgan, Forrest E.

Klein, Kurt

Frederick, Bryan

Chandler, Nathan

Cohen, Raphael S.

Shatz, Howard J.

Shokh, Yuliya

Efron, Shira

Rhoades, Ashley L.

Military

This volume of the Future of Warfare series explains six geopolitical trends—U.S. polarization and retrenchment, China’s rise, Asia’s realignment, emergence of a revanchist Russia, upheaval in Europe, and turmoil in the Islamic world—that will drive conflict between now and 2030. These trends will shift U.S. alliances; pull limited resources in different directions; and, ultimately, create a deepening strategic dilemma for U.S. defense strategy.

Geopolitical Trends and the Future of Warfare: The Changing Global Environment and Its Implications for the U.S. Air Force

Americas

Understanding Russia's grand strategy can help U.S. decisionmakers assess the depth and nature of potential conflicts between Russia and the United States and avoid strategic surprise by better-anticipating Moscow's actions and reactions. The authors of this report review Russia's declared grand strategy, evaluate the extent to which Russian behavior is consistent with stated strategy, and outline implications for the United States.

Russian Grand Strategy: Rhetoric and Reality

Priebe, Miranda

Demus, Alyssa

Stalczynski, Mark

Since 2014, China and Russia have strengthened their relationship, increasing political, military, and economic cooperation. In this report, the authors seek to understand the history of cooperation between Beijing and Moscow, the drivers of and constraints on the relationship, the potential future of cooperation between China and Russia, the impact of the Chinese-Russian relationship on the United States, and implications for future U.S. policy.

China-Russia Cooperation: Determining Factors, Future Trajectories, Implications for the United States

Business & Money

Scobell, Andrew

Treyger, Elina

Ma, Logan

Zeigler, Sean M.

Williams, J.D.

Economics

Military forecasting informs long-term military planning of the Russian Ministry of Defense. In this report, the authors draw on a framework developed by the Russian military science community to examine several key indicators related to military forecasting to gain insight into the likelihood and character of future war and the correlation of military potential between Russia and potential adversaries.

Russian Military Forecasting and Analysis: The Military-Political Situation and Military Potential in Strategic Planning

Lilly, Bilyana

Marcinek, Krystyna

Democracy in the Asia-Pacific Region (Research Report)

Dossani, Rafiq

Lilly, Sale

Cooper III, Cortez A.

Asia

In this report, the authors develop a framework for assessing a country’s capacity to resist a large-scale attack. The authors then use that framework to assess Taiwan’s capacity to withstand such an attack by China for at least 90 days. An accurate assessment of Taiwan’s ability to sustain a defense could help U.S. decisionmakers and planners better anticipate and respond in such a situation.

Can Taiwan Resist a Large-Scale Military Attack by China?: Assessing Strengths and Vulnerabilities in a Potential Conflict (Research Report: National Defense Research Institute)

Heath, Timothy R.

The authors explore Russian views on the military applications of robotics and artificial intelligence and the motivations for the development of those capabilities. They investigate the degree of autonomy that Russians might be willing to delegate to machines and to what extent Moscow plans to replace (versus augment) human soldiers with robots. They also assess whether Moscow has delivered--or can deliver--its robotization vision.

Russia's Asymmetric Response to 21st Century Strategic Competition: Robotization of the Armed Forces

Computers & Technology

Computer Science

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Books by Han, Eugeniu