The two and a half years that have elapsed since the publication of this text have not provided any information that would cause us to revise the general conclusions presented in our book. They have, however, given us the time to complete and publish two additional technical reports on our work. The Limits to Growth contains all the information required to evaluate the reasonableness of our general results. However, those wishing to extend our analysis, reproduce our computer plots, or use our models in teaching will require the second and third books as well.

Limits to Growth

Donella H. Meadows

Jørgen Randers

Dennis L. Meadows

William W. Behrens

Signet

THE LIMITS TO GROWTH, Donella H. Meadows, Dennis L. Meadows, Jorgen Randers, William W. Behrens III The message of this book is urgent and sobering: The earth's interlocking resources- the global system of nature in which we all live- probably cannot support present rates of economic and population growth much beyond the year 2100, if that long, even with advanced technology. In the summer of 1970, an international team of researchers at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology began a study of the implications of continued worldwide growth. They examined the five basic facts that determine and, in their interactions, ultimately limit growth on this planet- population increase, agricultural production, nonrenewable resource depletion, industrial output, and pollution generation. The MIT team fed data on these five factors into a global computer model and then tested the behavior of the model under several sets of assumptions to determine alternative patters for mankind's future. THE LIMITS TO GROWTH is the non-technical report of their findings. The book contains a message of hope, as well: Man can create a society in which he can live indefinitely on earth if he imposes limits on himself and his productions of material goods to achieve a state of global equilibrium with population and production in carefully selected balance. "This book raises life-and-death questions that confront mankind as it strives for achievement of a prosperous and equitable society." ---Vernon E. Jordan, JR., executive director, National Urban League

The Limits to Growth: A Report for the Club of Rome's Project on the Predicament of Mankind

William W. Behrens III

Universe Books

In 1972, three scientists from MIT created a computer model that analyzed global resource consumption and production. Their results shocked the world and created stirring conversation about global 'overshoot,' or resource use beyond the carrying capacity of the planet. Now, preeminent environmental scientists Donnella Meadows, Jorgen Randers, and Dennis Meadows have teamed up again to update and expand their original findings in The Limits to Growth: The 30 Year Global Update. Meadows, Randers, and Meadows are international environmental leaders recognized for their groundbreaking research into early signs of wear on the planet. Citing climate change as the most tangible example of our current overshoot, the scientists now provide us with an updated scenario and a plan to reduce our needs to meet the carrying capacity of the planet. Over the past three decades, population growth and global warming have forged on with a striking semblance to the scenarios laid out by the World3 computer model in the original Limits to Growth. While Meadows, Randers, and Meadows do not make a practice of predicting future environmental degradation, they offer an analysis of present and future trends in resource use, and assess a variety of possible outcomes. In many ways, the message contained in Limits to Growth: The 30-Year Update is a warning. Overshoot cannot be sustained without collapse. But, as the authors are careful to point out, there is reason to believe that humanity can still reverse some of its damage to Earth if it takes appropriate measures to reduce inefficiency and waste. Written in refreshingly accessible prose, Limits to Growth: The 30-Year Update is a long anticipated revival of some of the original voices in the growing chorus of sustainability. Limits to Growth: The 30 Year Update is a work of stunning intelligence that will expose for humanity the hazy but critical line between human growth and human development.

Limits to Growth: The 30-Year Update

Business & Money

Economics

Chelsea Green Publishing

Grenzen des Wachstums - Das 30-Jahre-Update

Hirzel S. Verlag

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Books by Dennis L. Meadows