China has been embarked on a process of reform and modernization that has led to unprecedented economic development. The goal is to make China a developed country, which would, among other things, raise the standard of living and prepare the base for a strong military. The Chinese leadership considers good relations with the United States to be strongly advisable, if not absolutely necessary, but sovereignty concerns (especially with regard to Taiwan) could cause tensions in the SinoU.S. relationship. China could emerge, by 2015, as a formidable power, one that might offer an alternative to the current U.S. role as the region's preferred security partner and its ultimate security manager.

The United States and a Rising China: Strategic and Military Implications (1999)

Business & Money

Shulsky, Abram N.

Cliff, Roger

Khalilzad, Zalmay M.

Orletsky, David T.

Byman Georgetown University, Daniel L.

Economics

RAND Corporation

China's economy is expected to grow over the next 20 years at a rate that will make it larger than the U.S. economy. This suggests that China has the economic potential to be an U.S. military rival by the year 2020. But can it become such a rival? At present, China's military hardware is based on 1950s Soviet technology. To produce weaponry technologically comparable to U.S. weaponry by 2020, China would have to improve its technological capabilities through internal, defense-industry efforts and/or other avenues. This report explores examining and rating China's current commercial technology in nine industries that have the most potential for supporting military technology development and assessing the prospects for technological progress. The findings suggest that even though China's military will not be the U.S. military's technological equal by 2020, the U.S. must still prepare for a Chinese military whose capabilities will steadily advance in the next 10 to 20 years.

The Military Potential of China's Commercial Technology

History

Military

Could China use antiaccess strategies to defeat the United States in a conflict-in the sense of accomplishing its military and political objectives while preventing the United States from doing likewise? Analysis of Chinese military-doctrinal writings reveals a number of antiaccess concepts that could have this effect. There are a number of actions the United States can take, however, to reduce the effectiveness of such strategies.

Entering the Dragon's Lair: Chinese Antiaccess Strategies and Their Implications for the United States

Eaton, Derek

Burles, Mark

Chase, Michael S.

Pollpeter, Kevin L.

Asia

Although the question of Taiwan's status may not be resolved soon, considering various outcomes and their possible effects on U.S.China relations is useful. Ten trajectories for the resolution of Taiwan's status are given, with effects on U.S.China relations ranging from close cooperation to cold war. As China's military capabilities grow, it will become more difficult but more important to prevent Beijing from trying to use force against Taiwan.

U.S.-China Relations After Resolution of Taiwan's Status

What can the United States learn from other militaries about how better to prepare for full-spectrum operations and deployments? The authors examine the militaries of China, France, the UK, India, and Israel to (1) identify different approaches to readiness, adaptability, and operational issues and (2) assess the ways in which units are trained both for specific and general deployments and for train, advise, and assist missions.

Preparing and Training for the Full Spectrum of Military Challenges: Insights from the Experiences of China, France, the United Kingdom, India, and Israel (Rand Corporation Monograph)

Johnson, David E.

Smallman, Laurence

Moroney, Jennifer D.P.

Markel, Wade

Management & Leadership

A November 2009 conference brought together leading experts to consider how political, economic, and military factors are likely to shape Taiwan1s security in the coming decade. The papers represented a range of viewpoints and analyses.

New Opportunities and Challenges for Taiwan's Security (Conference Proceedings)

Saunders, Phillip C.

Harold, Scott

China1s current and projected aerospace market demand, domestic production capabilities, and foreign participation, and their implications for U.S. interests.

Ready for Takeoff: Chinas Advancing Aerospace Industry

YANG

Ohlandt

Industries

Once termed the "world's largest military museum," the Chinese military has made enormous progress over the past twenty years. With skyrocketing military budgets and new technology, China's tanks, aircraft, destroyers, and missile capabilities are becoming comparable to those of the United States. If these trends continue, how powerful will the Chinese military be in the future? Will its capabilities soon rival or surpass those of the United States? The most comprehensive study of its kind, this book provides a detailed assessment of China's military capabilities in 2000 and 2010 with projections for 2020. It is the first of its kind in outlining a rigorous, theoretically- and empirically-grounded framework for assessing military capability based on not just weaponry but also doctrine, training, equipment, and organizational structure. This framework provides not only the most accurate assessment of China's military to date but an important new tool in the study of military history.

China's Military Power: Assessing Current and Future Capabilities

Engineering & Transportation

Engineering

Cambridge University Press

Once termed the "world's largest military museum," the Chinese military has made enormous progress over the past twenty years. With skyrocketing military budgets and new technology, China's tanks, aircraft, destroyers, and missile capabilities are becoming comparable to those of the United States. If these trends continue, how powerful will the Chinese military be in the future? Will its capabilities soon rival or surpass those of the United States? The most comprehensive study of its kind, this book provides a detailed assessment of China's military capabilities in 2000 and 2010 with projections for 2020. It is the first of its kind in outlining a rigorous, theoretically- and empirically-grounded framework for assessing military capability based on not just weaponry but also doctrine, training, equipment, and organizational structure. This framework provides not only the most accurate assessment of China's military to date but an important new tool in the study of military history.

The Chinese Air Force: Evolving Concepts, Roles, and Capabilities

HALLION, Richard P.

University, National Defense

Strategic Studies, Institute for National

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