Rand researchers examine potential strategic, technological, and normative trends that may affect the future evolution of U.S. policies that implement the Law of Armed Conflict, and assess the resulting implications for the U.S. military.

The Continued Evolution of U.S. Law of Armed Conflict Implementation: Implications for the U.S. Military (Rand National Defense Institute)

History

Johnson, David E.

Frederick, Bryan

Military

RAND Corporation

This report examines the impact of renewed tension between NATO and Russia on key allies and partners in central and northeastern Europe. The objective is to identify how changes in the interests, security strategies, and defense capabilities of these countries affect U.S. partnering in the region, with a focus on implications for the U.S. Air Force. Opportunities for strengthening partnerships exist in many areas.

NATO's Northeastern Flank: Emerging Opportunities for Engagement

Chivvis, Christopher S.

Hamilton, Daniel S.

Cohen, Raphael S.

Lin, Bonny

Larrabee, F. Stephen

Americas

Despite the growing importance of religion in countries in the former Soviet Union (FSU), the role of religion in conflicts in the region is not well understood. This volume of essays by international scholars and policy experts finds that while religion has not been the source of conflict in the FSU, it has sometimes sustained or intensified it as states and nonstate groups increasingly rely on religion to mobilize their supporters.

Religion, Conflict, and Stability in the Former Soviet Union

Migacheva, Katya

Asia

As the U.S. National Defense Strategy recognizes, the United States is currently locked in a great-power competition with Russia. This report seeks to define areas where the United States can compete to its own advantage. It examines Russian vulnerabilities and anxieties; analyzes potential policy options to exploit them; and assesses the associated benefits, costs, and risks, as well as the likelihood of successful implementation.

Extending Russia: Competing from Advantageous Ground

Morgan, Forrest E.

DeLuca, Paul

Chandler, Nathan

Geist, Edward

Shatz, Howard J.

Williams, Brent

The challenge of deterring territorial aggression is taking on renewed importance, yet discussion of it has lagged in U.S. military and strategy circles. The authors aim to provide a fresh look, with two primary purposes: to review established concepts about deterrence, and to provide a framework for evaluating the strength of deterrent relationships. They focus on a specific type of deterrence: extended deterrence of interstate aggression.

What Deters and Why: Exploring Requirements for Effective Deterrence of Interstate Aggression

Demus, Alyssa

Mazarr, Michael J.

Chan, Arthur

Pezard, Stephanie

Treyger, Elina

Nader, Alireza

Thompson, Julia A.

Who will the United States fight against and who will fight with it? Where will these future conflicts be fought? What will future conflicts look like? How will they be fought? And why will the United States go to war? This report is the overview in a series that seeks to answer these questions about the future of warfare in 2030.

The Future of Warfare in 2030: Project Overview and Conclusions

Han, Eugeniu

Klein, Kurt

Shokh, Yuliya

Efron, Shira

Rhoades, Ashley L.

Anticipating Adversary Military Interventions

Charap, Samuel

Tabatabai, Ariane M.

Kavanagh, Jennifer

Heath, Timothy R.

Curriden, Christian

Great powers have frequently employed large, expeditionary military forces engaged in various operations abroad. As China has ascended in power, observers have debated whether the country might follow a similar path. China has undertaken two types of military interventions in its post-1949 history. The report?s authors assess which one of two patterns is likely to predominate in China?s future and how this pattern might change.

China's Military Interventions: Patterns, Drivers, and Signposts

Despite Russia?s relatively small global economic footprint, it has engaged in more interventions than any other U.S. competitor since the end of the Cold War. In this report, the authors assess when, where, and why Russia conducts military interventions by analyzing the 25 interventions that Russia has undertaken since 1991, including detailed case studies of the 2008 Russia-Georgia War and Moscow?s involvement in the ongoing Syrian civil war.

Russia's Military Interventions: Patterns, Drivers, and Signposts

Drennan, John

Europe

In recent years, Iran has risen as one of the most significant regional challenges faced by the United States. In this report, the authors assess when, where, why, and how Iran conducts military interventions and identify key signposts of Iranian military interventions that can be used as early warning indicators for U.S. military planners and can guide decisions about the use of forces in the Middle East region.

Iran's Military Interventions: Patterns, Drivers, and Signposts

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